SMART BET Baseball Picks for April 5, 2011
Posted by Brandon Phillips in MLB Picks on April 5th, 2011 | Comment »Another return on investment last night as Pittsburgh’s shaky bullpen held on to the 4-1 lead to win 4-3 and keep the game under the posted total of 9. Tonight the Smart Investment Play looks to take advantage of a poor pitching match-up where there should be several runs scored.
SMART BET INVESTMENT PLAY: (The investment is always equal to 10% of the total bankroll)
Initial Bankroll Started on 2/28/2011: $1,000.00
Bankroll as of 4/5/2011: $2,201.19
San Francisco/San Diego OVER 7 (-105) investing $220.12 for a return of $209.11. We are getting a nice low line here as we have two below average offenses, but the pitching match-up is the key to this game going over the posted total. Harang from San Diego was terrible in Spring Training, which was not much different from how he pitched most of last year. He had an ERA of 6.12 giving up 17 earned runs in only 25 innings of work. Bumgarner was equally as bad in Spring Training earning an ERA of 5.93 and giving up 18 earned runs in 21 innings of work. Now, neither offense is going to blow you away here, but Harang and Bumgarner simply don’t have the control and ability to spot the ball and keep average hitters off balance. San Francisco is also on an over run, going over the posted the last two outings.
Recommended Plays:
Mets (+170) vs. Phillies
White Sox (-115) vs. Kansas City
Houston/Cincinnati OVER 8.5 (-120)
KEEP YOUR BETS SMART!

